Seonglae ChoAI forecasting
Are language models good at making predictions? — LessWrong
To get a crude answer to this question, we took 5000 questions from Manifold markets that were resolved after GPT-4’s current knowledge cutoff of Jan…
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CkhJAxHeyFCg2EcET/are-language-models-good-at-making-predictions
Does Forecasting Have Room At The Top?
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https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/does-forecasting-have-room-at-the
