Fine-tuned universe

Errors in statistical estimates about the past occur because they are made using current data. If this current data strongly depends on past events, it can lead to overestimating the probability of that specific past. In other words, since we only have information about the established past, it's difficult to rationally consider other possible paths. Therefore, we tend to assign higher probability to the time path that led to our current data, which is the only information we can reference. This error is more likely to occur when the amount of information is insufficient compared to the time interval being estimated.