AI Confidence

Creator
Creator
Seonglae ChoSeonglae Cho
Created
Created
2025 Dec 24 0:45
Editor
Edited
Edited
2026 Feb 4 19:0

Factuality Confidence Measure

distributional certainty alone is insufficient, and
Semantic Entropy
measures how consistently a model can answer at the semantic level (confidently wrong cases can have high (A) but low (B)).
AI Confidence Notion
 
 
 
 
Evolves across layers (overconfidence → calibration (confidence correction) stage), with a low-dimensional calibration direction existing in the residual stream
arxiv.org
 
 

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