ICL sigmoid: as the number of in-context examples increases, model behavior follows an S-shaped curve: minimal change → sudden sharp transition → saturation. Jailbreak threshold: the inflection point in the middle of this sigmoid curve. When examples accumulate to around this point, the model's internal beliefs cross a critical threshold, causing it to suddenly exhibit risky/prohibited behaviors it previously avoided. Near the threshold, just 1–2 additional examples or weak activation steering can trigger a sharp behavioral flip between safe ↔ violation modes.
Many-shot jailbreaking observes sharp transition
many-shot ICL reports phase-transition-like behavior

Seonglae Cho