Seonglae ChoA Stock Market is essentially a type of prediction market focused on economy.
Prediction Markets
The Microstructure of Wealth Transfer in Prediction Markets
Slot machines on the Las Vegas Strip return about 93 cents on the dollar. This is widely considered some of the worst odds in gambling. Yet on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction market, traders have wagered vast sums on longshot contracts with historical returns as low as 43 cents on the dollar. Thousands of participants are voluntarily accepting expected values far lower than a casino slot machine to bet on their convictions.
https://www.jbecker.dev/research/prediction-market-microstructure
prediction markets are fundamentally flawed in their design and may lead to harmful social outcomes
Predicting our own demise
Creating society-destabilizing incentives for fun and profit!
https://reducibleerrors.com/prediction-markets/
Globe
Polyglobe - Monitor the Situation
Real-time visualization of geopolitical markets and OSINT intelligence on an interactive globe.
https://www.pizzint.watch/polyglobe
issue
America is slow-walking into a Polymarket disaster
Why is the media obsessed with prediction markets?
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/america-is-slow-walking-into-a-polymarket-disaster/ar-AA1Upfdb
All Bets Are On: The Rise of Prediction Markets
Billions of dollars are trading hands on sites like Polymarket and Kalshi, where people bet on everything from Taylor Swift’s wedding date to election outcomes.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/19/technology/polymarket-kalshi-prediction-markets.html
